Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.248439 0.280866 0.315351 0.354692 0.398266 0.444988 0.498808
2025-08-31 0.203129 0.246429 0.295288 0.354284 0.423358 0.501429 0.596096
2025-09-07 0.174855 0.225448 0.285506 0.361580 0.454853 0.564925 0.704048
2025-09-14 0.150258 0.204781 0.272538 0.362111 0.476483 0.616625 0.800191
2025-09-21 0.131010 0.187872 0.261551 0.362770 0.496775 0.666501 0.895858
2025-09-28 0.115589 0.173783 0.252146 0.363648 0.516170 0.715160 0.991608
2025-10-05 0.104347 0.163874 0.246910 0.368889 0.540719 0.770904 1.098622
2025-10-12 0.096249 0.157364 0.245423 0.378588 0.571214 0.835439 1.219908
2025-10-19 0.087689 0.149103 0.240414 0.382397 0.593039 0.888525 1.327392
2025-10-26 0.081143 0.143146 0.238068 0.389527 0.619509 0.948796 1.447060
2025-11-02 0.076471 0.139604 0.238915 0.401180 0.652857 1.019965 1.584887
2025-11-09 0.069374 0.131291 0.231489 0.399286 0.665306 1.060802 1.679953
2025-11-16 0.062949 0.123676 0.224872 0.398681 0.680452 1.107540 1.787834
2025-11-23 0.057135 0.116494 0.218308 0.397559 0.694527 1.153130 1.895894
2025-11-30 0.053460 0.112768 0.217210 0.405253 0.722926 1.221768 2.041780
2025-12-07 0.048980 0.107034 0.212087 0.405631 0.739179 1.271909 2.160870
2025-12-14 0.045003 0.101810 0.207374 0.406244 0.755616 1.322769 2.282825
2025-12-21 0.041468 0.097057 0.203069 0.407150 0.772374 1.374584 2.408033
2025-12-28 0.038890 0.093966 0.201569 0.412900 0.797602 1.441064 2.559198
2026-01-04 0.037118 0.092373 0.202760 0.423583 0.831875 1.523742 2.739693
2026-01-11 0.034749 0.089216 0.200610 0.427775 0.854654 1.587838 2.891578
2026-01-18 0.032959 0.087146 0.200432 0.435633 0.884317 1.664622 3.067203
2026-01-25 0.031790 0.086364 0.202783 0.448480 0.923639 1.759370 3.276285